Strategy
Yield vs capital growth: the Johannesburg trade-off nobody talks about
The suburbs with the best rental yields in JHB are almost never the suburbs with the best capital growth. Why the two-portfolio approach beats trying to have both.
In Johannesburg, the geography of yield and the geography of growth barely overlap. High-yield suburbs — Berea, Yeoville, parts of the CBD, Turffontein — deliver gross yields of 12 to 15 percent but have shown flat or negative real capital growth over the last decade. High-growth suburbs — Bryanston, Melrose Arch, parts of Sandton — deliver 5 to 7 percent yields but have compounded meaningfully over the same period.
Most first-time investors try to find a single property that does both. It's an unforced error. The properties that appear to bridge the gap almost always turn out to be either mispriced (you're paying growth premiums for yield stock) or misrepresented.
The professionals we work with usually run two separate books. The yield book funds the growth book. Rental income from the high-yield properties covers the bond shortfall on the growth properties, and the growth properties provide the equity to buy more yield stock. It's a slower way to build a portfolio than the 'one perfect deal' fantasy, but it survives interest-rate cycles.
If you're starting out with one property, be honest about which of the two you're actually buying — and price it accordingly.
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